Hybrids - a threat to car-pooling? |
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shirons
New Slug Joined: 21 Aug 2003 Location: VA Status: Offline Points: 0 |
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From the presentations at Monday's Town Hall - their current projection for HOT on 95/395 was $.20 per mile (if you commute from Dumfries that works out to around $3000/yr with daily use) slightly more expensive than $2 "to be able to get to work in a hurry if pressed for time." They continued to say that they would increase the price to a point to discourage use to the point of congestion. What would that price look like $2 or $3 per mile?
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Trotski99
New Slug Joined: 17 Mar 2005 Location: VA Status: Offline Points: 0 |
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Having two HOV lanes sit virtually empty while three "regular" lanes are totally jammed is not a solution to our region's traffic problems. I think the focus should be on improving congestion for ALL commuters rather than just for the environmentally "elite".
It seems to me that if the problem is "congestion" then we should build more roads. If the problem is too much gas consumption then we should move the cars that exist more efficiently and encourage people to buy more fuel-efficient cars. For this reason I see allowing hybrid vehicles to use HOV as a step in the right direction. Too much money has been wasted on the HOV concept. The proposals I've seen here to raise the existing lanes to HOV4 to raise the "total commuters per hour" is a statistically flawed idea. The problem now is that not enough drivers are interested in sharing their vehicles with strangers and there aren't enough strangers willing to spend their mornings hitchhiking to work. Making the restrictions even more severe would only exacerbate the problem. Communism had a lot of lofty high-minded ideals behind it, but its problem was that it ran contrary to human nature. The best public policy and government rewards people for doing what they want to do anyway and make people's natural instincts into a boon instead of a liability. HOV is like communism. It tries to get people to modify their behavior and when it doesn't succeed, it punishes those who don't play by the rules. HOV has cost the public billions of dollars and the congestion for the average commuter is worse now than before. HOT can't come soon enough in my opinion. |
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Wagonman
New Slug Joined: 05 Aug 2003 Status: Offline Points: 0 |
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quote: If there were two lanes that were virtually empty there wouldn't be so many complaints about hybrids. The fact is that the two HOV lanes move more people than three regular lanes during peak congestion. Maybe you should research the situation more before spouting off uninformed opinions. The HOV lanes are at capacity(which doesn't mean bumper to bumper) which tends to discount your thought of "not enough drivers are interested in sharing their vehicles with strangers and there aren't enough strangers willing to spend their mornings hitchhiking to work". If the HOVs were no longer HOV you would have enough cars to jam up 6 lanes of traffic to the level that the current regular lanes are congested, but you would only have 5 lanes so congestion would be worse than it currently is on the regular lanes. You can't blame HOVs for traffic getting worse, they work. When the HOVs and the regular lanes are at capacity the only people you can blame are the politcians(and the people that elect them) for not setting the right priorities and providing ways to move more people. Guess what, HOT isn't going to move more people. It will add one lane but push more people out of HOV resulting in more than enough cars to fill that extra lane. But now you will have to be one of the "elite" in order to buy one of those spots. It will also prevent any real solutions for the regular lanes since I'm sure there will be a no-compete clause in the contract making any improvements to the regular lanes impossible till the lease is up in 40 years. HOT will maximize revenue, not maximize moving people. |
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Mr. Bill
New Slug Joined: 29 Apr 2003 Location: VA Status: Offline Points: 0 |
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quote: Trot - Elite how much does it cost to use HOV? No money only time if you slug or a slug-driver. ELITE is HOT and in the presentation that is exactly what I heard since the cost goes up as the use goes up. Two weeks ago the Post stated that the HOV lanes actually carries more people than the GP lanes. Sounds like a successful experiment to me 2 lanes carrying more people than 3 or 4. So if we open the lanes up, they still need to carry the same number of people so my guess is that congestion is worse. Killing HOV is not a wise move. |
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Mr. Bill
New Slug Joined: 29 Apr 2003 Location: VA Status: Offline Points: 0 |
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quote: I totally agree. The reason that these unsolicited proposals were offered is that VDOT has no money bugeted for these NOVA highways and there are private companies that are looking to make some bucks -- I cannot blame them for trying. The goal is to move people HOV works. |
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NoSUV
New Slug Joined: 14 Jan 2005 Status: Offline Points: 0 |
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Wagonman - you're logic is fuzzy. You say HOV is "at capacity" but methinks that includes hybrids. I guess you are in favor of extending the hybrid exemption to keep HOV at capacity. Welcome to the Team.
If you look at the slug lots, you can see that the numbers of cars has not gone down proportionally with the increase of hybrids, so that's not where the drivers are coming from. Also, the congestion in the regular lanes has also not substantially decreased with the hybrid HOV exemption. Only leaves 2 alternatives: drivers who used to take slugs bought hybrids (that says something ugly about what they must think about slugs!) OR total numbers have increased across the board. Drivers in regular lanes have a reason why they are there instead of car pooling, and I doubt it is because they like sitting in traffic. Questions should be: - how do you best balance the load between the HOV and regular lanes in the near term? - what is needed for the infrastructure for 5 years from now? The answer to the first has only 2 alternatives: - increase the hybrid exemption - go to tolls (increasing the fee until balance is achieved) |
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NoSUV
New Slug Joined: 14 Jan 2005 Status: Offline Points: 0 |
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http://home.comcast.net/~robertlangdirect//SAVEHOV.ppt Mr. Lang: You make an assumption that repealing the hybrid exemption will increase total commuter throughput. I suspect that you need to take a survey of hybrid drivers to see what percent would pick up slugs, what percent would become slugs, and what percent would go into the regular lanes. Without a survey, you should re-run your graphs based on first 100% going into each category (and, of course, 0% in the other 2), then perhaps an assumption of some mixture. I still think it's either exemption or toll in the short run. |
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14thDriver
New Slug Joined: 29 Mar 2004 Status: Offline Points: 0 |
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In reply to Trotski99:
HOV is an incentive system. It's a choice, not unlike self-checkout lanes in stores, but it isn't exactly communism. I can not find sympathy for users of the GP lanes because they are unwilling to legally use HOV to get to work more quikly. It is like a child who refuses to take the medicine that will briefly taste bad but then complains about how sick he is. Why should all taxpayers pay for more roads because 1/2 the people driving up 395 are too selfish to contribute to the available solution? If you make the HOV lanes into regular lanes for all commuters, the increase in cars associated with the number of slugs who would then drive would gain us nothing. Again, why should everyone suffer because some people are unwilling to assist in the solution? Also, more capacity isn't the solution. Good luck increasing capacity at the 14th street bridge. If you can't solve that, you can have 20 lanes and it won't make a difference in time, it will only change how close you are to your destination while you wait. |
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Trotski99
New Slug Joined: 17 Mar 2005 Location: VA Status: Offline Points: 0 |
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Communism would have worked too if everyone would have just been satisfied with having the same things as everyone else and everyone just did as they were told. In the end it just turned out to be an unworkable situation because people are selfish and will usually only do things in their own self-interest unless they are rewarded or coerced into doing otherwise.
This goes to my central point. If people are unwilling to do something (in this case carpool with strangers every morning) then it is not going to work. The problem with HOV is that it depends on behavior modification that is contrary to the way people want to live their lives. If HOV logic were extended to other situations it would seem rediculous. Let's say you could only go to the store more than once a week to go shopping unless you took one of your elderly neighbors with you. It sounds like a laudable idea. There are a lot of elderly people who can't get to the store on their own and it would be nice to enact a law that would "encourage" people to take the elderly shopping. The problem is that there wouldn't be enough elderly to go around for everyone to go to the store. You'd have to spend 10 more minutes of your day waiting for grandma to get in and out of your car. When I look at the HOV lanes now I am happy to see the hybrids because at least there are some cars in the lanes! Before the hybrids were let in they were completely empty. Even now if you're stopped in the general traffic lanes you can look to your left and count to 20 sometimes during the pause between cars. These lanes need to be opened up to more traffic in one way or another. There is no reason why they should sit empty while the other lanes are stopped. |
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Mr. Bill
New Slug Joined: 29 Apr 2003 Location: VA Status: Offline Points: 0 |
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quote: So what is your point? The HOV is the carrot to get people to carpool. According to Dr. Gridlock the HOV lanes are currently moving more people than the GP lanes so they are working. Getting people to their destinations is the goal of roads and transit. If you let non-HOV into the lanes it removes the incentive to carpool. Face it you just do not like the idea of HOV. People want to drive fast as well, that is why there are negative incentives (tickets/fines) to doing that. |
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